Iraq: View From Baghdad

21 February 2003 The mood on the streets of Baghdad is as volatile as oil prices these days — hyper when war seems inevitable, more relaxed as the prospect recedes. But if and when war does finally start, it’s the battle for Baghdad that is preoccupying everyone, Iraqis as much as foreign observers based in the Iraqi capital. The recent global anti-war demonstrations astounded Iraqis to the point where they…

The Big Unknowns

18 October 2002 In 1979, the same year the US lost Iran and its oilfields to the Islamic revolution, Saddam Hussein was sworn in as president of Iraq. Twenty-three years later, the US appears poised to engage in another Mideast adventure designed to topple him. But there are a huge number of unknowns, all or any of which could turn the mission into a debacle. For Western diplomats, one of…

Opposition Squabbles

20 December 2002 The US wanted the recent London gathering of Iraqi exiles to be a media event — and that’s exactly what it was. The haggling among the 350-plus opposition members at the four-day meeting, not to mention the outcome, showed the wisdom of Washington’s insistence that all fundamental issues related to a new political system in a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq be avoided. The US had urged the attendees,…

Iraq-Opec: Charm Offensive

11 February 2000 Iraq’s decade of non-participation in Opec may be coming to an end. The pariah state – which plans to produce 6 million barrels per day within 10 years of United Nations sanctions against it being lifted – has indicated that it intends to reassert itself as a fully functioning member of the organization. Iraq’s approach is two-pronged. It wants an Iraqi official installed in high office in…